Hm, maybe this is also interesting in this thread:I assembled the data from the Bing Coronavirus tracker this morning for several of the largest countries affected. What you rarely see is data scaled to population. I have done so
Salient facts: Italy Spain and Iran (Iran is widely believed to be underreporting) have the lion's share of the deaths per million and death rate. Even then, Italy, the worst only has (to date) a little over 6 deaths per 100,000. At rate less than seasonal flu (this, of course will change).
Death rates per confirmed case are lowest in NYS, Switzerland and Germany, with Germany being a far outlier. No single reason for this has been determined, though it is believed that in Germany and Switzerland it is partially related to higher testing rates. If testing rate are indeed the main drive, it would imply the true mortality is fairly low (<1 percent of cases)
Figures out of Italy and Spain (and Iran - though again, may not be reliable) are clearly outliers. Italy's high rate of cases is probably due to close trade ties with China and refusal early on to stop China flights.
UK has an unusually high death rate, but this may be due to small sample size so far.
Having worked on vaccines for many years before I became a writer of bad erotic fiction, I can say that many of the projections that we will have a vaccine in a year or 18 months are speculative. It's possible, sure, but it's also possible it could take much longer and even never happen. There is still no HIV vaccine 40 years in and still no broadly usable malaria vaccine.I've just been watching this - a very interesting explanation of what's distinctive, and difficult, with coronaviruses,
and what's involved in producing a vaccine.
The race is on to find a vaccine against the new COVID-19 coronavirus. Professor Jonathan Heeney explains why a cautious approach is needed and how his team is using new technology developed for influenza and Ebola viruses to target the new infection.www.cam.ac.uk
That conversation somehow reminds me of thisAlmost correct, but I would indeed have to make word-splits if I take everything what I wanted to mention, although splitting the words makes me somehow unhappy as a German: "Nationen mit staatlich-verwalteten Gesundheits-, Sozial- und Krankenkassensystemen"
I've just been watching this - a very interesting explanation of what's distinctive, and difficult, with coronaviruses,
and what's involved in producing a vaccine.
This is a very real consideration, as far as I recall this problem has shown up in some experimental vaccines against the original SARS ... it would elicit a good neutralizing antibody response in the animal models, but when they were later challenged with the virus, outcomes weren't good.The point the article makes that a vaccine could make infection worse is quite valid.
For sure we must not put ourselves in a place where we have to hope for miracles. Technology has advanced amazingly and it took only a few weeks to find out as much about the novel coronavirus, as we learned about HIV in 25 years.many of the projections that we will have a vaccine in a year or 18 months are speculative. It's possible, sure, but it's also possible it could take much longer and even never happen.
Well there are grounds for optimism here, however a virus mutates, the working parts have to remain functional and they are under tight constraints.And even if a vaccine is developed for one strain, some other mutation will probably appear soon - if it hasn't already.
There's an interesting video from the Wuhan Municipal Center for Disease Control & Prevention, an official Chinese govt. video targeted at the general public especially young viewers, with English subtitles; this is from December 2019 ... at the time it was posted the outbreak had already started but was not yet recognized ... it shows their research into bats as as virus reservoirs and it is someting they were very aware of,And there's mention of a suspected origin in a particular population of bats,
I think this could be a tricky subject to discuss because there are multiple aspects to consider.Maybe, this sounds a bit silly but honestly, today, I would really like to know who are really these (in)human beings who supposedly eat all these animals or parts of them and make some species die out.
For decades - since about 1975 - I hear now even in Germany that someone in Asia is eating e.g. "shark fin soups", "rhinoceros horns" etc. as aphrodisiacs, bat wings and now pangolins imported from Africa to China.
Who are these crazy humans with superstitious beliefs and why does it seem possible for them to pay so much money for decades?
They cannot have been simple Chinese people when you remember the poverty of communist China only 30 years ago.
The UN should really have tried to find out at least 40 years ago who has so much money to pay poachers and traders in Africa already 50 years ago.